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美金指数11/19

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发表于 2004-11-19 08:55 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
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美金指数11/19
长期方向(年)--------向下
中期方向(月)--------向下
短期方向(周,日)--------向下
超短方向(1-4小时)--------平衡,略向下
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心存感恩!
发表于 2004-11-19 09:04 | 显示全部楼层
收到哦,zhufeng早!
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发表于 2004-11-19 10:00 | 显示全部楼层
收到!!谢谢好图
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发表于 2004-11-19 10:15 | 显示全部楼层
收到!及時!
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发表于 2004-11-19 12:51 | 显示全部楼层
好图,谢谢!!!
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发表于 2004-11-19 13:31 | 显示全部楼层
可我已经买进了怎么办,请大师指点
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发表于 2004-11-19 13:58 | 显示全部楼层
谢谢,兄台!请问美元指数在什么地方看呀??
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 楼主| 发表于 2004-11-19 15:50 | 显示全部楼层
Originally posted by 小河 at 2004-11-19 13:31:
可我已经买进了怎么办,请大师指点

如果,你现在是在中国,就是持有美元再多几个月也没关系。人民币兑美元的汇率,没有那么快调整。至于,还想投资其它非美,,,,如果你觉得自己的短线跑的快的话,就考虑买进澳元吧!
心存感恩!
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 楼主| 发表于 2004-11-19 15:52 | 显示全部楼层
Originally posted by 波浪小弟 at 2004-11-19 13:58:
谢谢,兄台!请问美元指数在什么地方看呀??

www.futuresourse.com--   dxy
不用谢!
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发表于 2004-11-19 22:57 | 显示全部楼层

请教Zhufeng前辈

10月22日与25日之间的跳空缺口有中继缺口的意义吗?
同时转帖一份国外的材料,为楼主作一参考。
EURUSD (1.2969)
by J.P. Chorek
11/16/2004, Forexnews.com
EURUSD (1.2969): As long as 1.2913/03 holds, the next big move should be higher.

Key points:

1. Short-term trend—bullish (dynalibrium up, moving average crossovers bullish, and trendlines/channel lines bullish).

2. Minute-term rhythm—topping (hourly momentum indicators down around neutral, 1-week cycle bust).

3. Micro-term structure—sideways correction.

4. Resistance: 1.2999/1.3005, 1.3125, 1.3156, 1.3353.

5. Support: 1.2913/03, 1.2872/54, 1.2854/43, 1.2757, 1.2738, 1.2654/05.

Insights/Observations: It seems that when rhythm conditions stand in contrast to the underlying short-term bull trend, all we see is choppy, sideways action. That's a testament to the strength of the trend, as it's able to hold on to previous gains during downward cycles and bad momentum periods.

Such has been the case since yesterday for this pair. Hourly indicators have come down from positive territory to the neutral zone, while the 1-week cycle has rolled over into its bust phase. Yet prices have only swung back and forth in a seemingly tightening range.

These swings are taking on the appearance of a triangle pattern. Rather than go through all the gory Elliott wave details of such a formation, suffice it to say that as long as the 1.2913 (low from yesterday) to 1.2903 (.618 of 1.2843-1.2999) support zone holds, the bull trend should resume sooner rather than later.

A move above the 1.2999/1.3005 triangle high would bring focus to these ongoing targets:

1.3125 ((5)=(1) .8225-.9594 rally when added to 1.1756 wave (4) low-point),

1.3156 ((5)=widest part of wave (4)), and

1.3353 ((5)=(1) .8225-.9594 rally when added to 1.1984 wave (4) terminus).


Micro-term support is around 1.2941 (.618 since 1.2913), but only a break of 1.2913/03 would bring back the case for a downswing to 1.2843 within the wave (iv) structure from 1.3005.
20041116.gif
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