 | |  | | 10月22日与25日之间的跳空缺口有中继缺口的意义吗?
同时转帖一份国外的材料,为楼主作一参考。
EURUSD (1.2969)
by J.P. Chorek
11/16/2004, Forexnews.com
EURUSD (1.2969): As long as 1.2913/03 holds, the next big move should be higher.
Key points:
1. Short-term trend—bullish (dynalibrium up, moving average crossovers bullish, and trendlines/channel lines bullish).
2. Minute-term rhythm—topping (hourly momentum indicators down around neutral, 1-week cycle bust).
3. Micro-term structure—sideways correction.
4. Resistance: 1.2999/1.3005, 1.3125, 1.3156, 1.3353.
5. Support: 1.2913/03, 1.2872/54, 1.2854/43, 1.2757, 1.2738, 1.2654/05.
Insights/Observations: It seems that when rhythm conditions stand in contrast to the underlying short-term bull trend, all we see is choppy, sideways action. That's a testament to the strength of the trend, as it's able to hold on to previous gains during downward cycles and bad momentum periods.
Such has been the case since yesterday for this pair. Hourly indicators have come down from positive territory to the neutral zone, while the 1-week cycle has rolled over into its bust phase. Yet prices have only swung back and forth in a seemingly tightening range.
These swings are taking on the appearance of a triangle pattern. Rather than go through all the gory Elliott wave details of such a formation, suffice it to say that as long as the 1.2913 (low from yesterday) to 1.2903 (.618 of 1.2843-1.2999) support zone holds, the bull trend should resume sooner rather than later.
A move above the 1.2999/1.3005 triangle high would bring focus to these ongoing targets:
1.3125 ((5)=(1) .8225-.9594 rally when added to 1.1756 wave (4) low-point),
1.3156 ((5)=widest part of wave (4)), and
1.3353 ((5)=(1) .8225-.9594 rally when added to 1.1984 wave (4) terminus).
Micro-term support is around 1.2941 (.618 since 1.2913), but only a break of 1.2913/03 would bring back the case for a downswing to 1.2843 within the wave (iv) structure from 1.3005. |  |  |  |  |
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