日圖上鎊現頭肩頂

发表于 2004-8-24 11:21

发表于 2004-8-24 11:39

发表于 2004-8-24 19:40


	GBP is sitting on the neck line. Head and shoulder format (June to today!). If it breaks, 800 points profit not bad !

发表于 2004-8-24 20:21


	Short GBP at 1.8046 @8:17pm Aug 24,2004 Reason : 1). S&P is up 3.5 and Dow is up 29. Data may be a good one. 2). Good ran yesterday ! Pull back in the morning. Look for run through neck line before the London FX close around 12:00PM tonight. Protective stop at : 1.85 Inital target point at 1.72 (see you !)

发表于 2004-8-24 20:23

发表于 2004-8-24 20:31


	形态分析的误区：形态是可以相互转化的。如果“头肩顶”的形态跌不下去，就会变为“头肩底”，或者“三角形”，或者“上升楔形”。 2002年，世界地球物理年会中，美国物理学家PACK FEAL提出：任何地震的先兆都是不可靠的（原话大意如此）。也就是说：当地震发生时，有井水变混、鸡飞狗跳等现象；但是，井水变混、鸡飞狗跳不等于一定要发生地震。套用到汇市中，趋势的形成是由N个固定形态构成的，但任何固定形态都无法预知未来汇市走向。

发表于 2004-8-24 20:44


	Good point. Bear in mind, I am a trader nothing but a trader. I trade for a living. I showed all the facts and resaons above and bet on GBP break the market neck line. If I am looking at the pattern alone as the entry method, I would have lost everything since my trading life back to 87. In fact, I have 100 points in my hands now plus the CHF short 4 hours ago. I don't trade based on "feeling" like most of the people here. I trade based on fact.

发表于 2004-8-24 20:52


	你好，我是“地图鱼”（才被迫改名的，因为有人不喜欢我）我的英文水平不好，但可以看个大概。记得过去我们曾经交流过，记得你对RSI有过独到的见解，很是受教。是的，这里大多数人靠"feeling"做交易，这是非常可怕的事情。

发表于 2004-8-24 21:09


	Most of the people love to fight the trend and facts ! It is so easy to run with the market direction. Everybody love to be "GANN". Forecasting future is not my job. My job is looking for good setup and trade. I have been waiting for GBP since 4:00PM.

发表于 2004-8-24 21:12


	Market is starting to pullback. I am looking for chances to add more short position (must be before London closed !)

日元真的可能要上升