7月13日昊然汇评：关注今天数据，继续逢低买入

	7月13日昊然汇评：关注今天数据，继续逢低买入 各位投资者大家好！周一外汇市场各币种继续出现高位震荡，在目前这个位置上，多空处在平衡的状态，各币种上方的短线压力十分明显，经过连续3天的高位震荡之后，将会出现一次短线调整的过程。在昨日的汇评当中，这方面的内容已经作了明确的阐述，在回调过程中是投资者逢低买入的好机会。从目前的走势来分析，回调将在今天展开。 昨天没有重要的数据公布，消息面上也相当平静。因此行情在高位小幅震荡，交易比较平淡。其中日圆出现了冲高回落的走势，周末日本的参议院选举，首相小泉所在的自民党在选举中失利，但所得的票数比市场原先预期的要多，因此日元出现了调空高开的行情。随后就逐波走低，收盘在108.60附近 。日圆近期是很明显的震荡平衡走势，上方的阻力和下方的支撑都非常明显，所以投资者可以在这个区间之内进行高抛低吸操作，在其他货币大幅上涨，而投资者由于惧怕风险不愿追高的情况下，以这样的策略操作日元是比较安全的。 今天正在出现的调整行情，预计将持续两天左右的时间，调整之后行情还将继续中线上涨，上涨的目标位并没有达到。目前的调整只是技术性的，是大幅上涨之后的回吐走势。昨天我们分析了美元指数的走势，美元在跌破88之后，突破了整理形态的下轨，而且是连续四周下跌，存在回抽颈线的要求。 今天有重要的数据公布，16：30伦敦市场开盘的时候，将公布英国六月份零售物价指数和消费者物价指数。这两个数据是衡量英国通货膨胀的重要参考，对于八月份英镑提高利率有较大的指导意义。如果这两个数据分别高于市场的预测值，那么英镑加息的预期将再次提高，英镑的调整幅度将会比较小；如果这两个数据表现不好，英镑的回调幅度会比较大。而目前高利率货币是市场走势的风向标，英镑的大幅回调将带动其它币种出现明显的调整走势。因此关注这两个数据，是今天操作重要的参考依据。晚上还有一个重要的数据公布，8：30公布美国五月份国际贸易收支，预计该数据会表现较好，非美元币种将因此加大回调的力度。投资者趁此机会，逢低入场。 撰稿人：昊然 E-mail：hran@163.com      报价以 www.apfx.com 为准 仅供投资者参考。

	Originally posted by 昊然 at 2004-7-13 10:35 AM: 7月13日昊然汇评：关注今天数据，继续逢低买入     ................ 好!   谢谢昊然老师 我天天都在逢低买入

	在等日、欧消息

	请问吴老师，今日英棒仍然以震荡整理为主吗？

	13 Jul 2004 03:06 GMT Hong Kong shares lower led by telcos; chipmakers down after Merrill downgrade HONG KONG (AFX-ASIA) - Share prices were lower in early trade, after opening flat, following the mixed performance of Wall Street overnight, with telecom stocks leading the falls after Nasdaq's weakness, dealers said. HSBC was steady after news that it will buy Marks & Spencer PLC's financial services division, M&S Money, while semiconductor stocks were hit by news that Merrill Lynch had revised its recommendation on the global chip sector to "underweight" from "overweight", they said. At 10.34 am, the Hang Seng Index was down 119.95 points or 0.98 pct at 12,071.06, after opening up 0.71 points or 0.01 pct at 12,191.72. Main board turnover was at 2.41 bln hkd, with 988.54 mln shares changing hands. "The market is lacking a focus. Telecos are leading falls after the weakness on Nasdaq," said Simon Tam, senior sales manager at Kim Eng Securities. HSBC was flat at 116 hkd after news that it is buying Marks & Spencer PLC's financial services division. "The purchase looks promising, as the bank's retail business would be strengthened in the UK," Tam said. "Its retail banking business in the UK is now broadened, but the debt settlement of Marks & Spencer of over 1.0 bln stg looks burdening," said a dealer with a regional brokerage. HSBC will buy M&S Money for 762 mln stg, a premium of 224 mln stg over net asset value, and will also take on net debt of 1.24 bln stg. M&S will retain 60 mln stg of the business' net assets. Other banks were lower in line with the market, with Hang Seng Bank down 0.25 hkd or 0.25 pct at 99.25, Bank of East Asia down 0.15 hkd or 0.67 pct at 22.4 and BOC Hong Kong down 0.05 hkd or 0.39 pct at 12.9. Chip makers were lower after a downgrade by Merrill Lynch on the global semiconductor sector, dealers said. SMIC was down 0.02 hkd or 1.3 pct at 1.52 and Solomon Systech was down 0.07 hkd or 3.8 pct at 1.77. Telcos were leading the losses today after the declines on Nasdaq, dealers said. China Mobile was down 0.4 hkd or 1.75 pct at 22.45, China Unicom down 0.25 hkd or 3.97 pct at 6.05 and Hutchison was down 0.5 hkd or 0.94 pct at 52.5. PCCW lost its momentum after it said that it has not yet reached any agreement with China Netcom over a possible stake sale in a PCCW unit. PCCW was down 0.1 hkd or 1.77 pct at 5.5. "There can be no assurance that any such agreement or letter of intent will be signed," the company said in a statement to the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong. The statement was filed in response to a media report that PCCW has entered into a framework agreement with China Netcom in relation to the sale of an equity stake in the company's wholly-owned unit PCCW-HKT Telephone Ltd. PCCW announced in May that China Network Communications Group Corp (China Netcom), the mainland's second-largest operator of fixed-line services, is interested in taking a stake in PCCW-HKT, the core fixed line business of PCCW. Property stocks were also lower, with Cheung Kong down 0.75 hkd or 1.28 pct at 57.75, Sun Hung Kai Properties down 0.75 hkd or 1.16 pct at 64 and Henderson Land down 0.1 hkd or 0.23 pct at 42.7. H-shares were lower, extending losses amid continued concerns that more companies in the sector might follow Yanzhou Coal's move to raise money through share placements. "These (share placement) concerns will continue to drag H-shares lower," UOB Kay Hian (HK) director Steven Leung said. The Hang Seng China Enterprise Index was down 50.74 points or 1.2 pct at 4,194.78. Among China-related stocks, Denway Motors was down 0.125 hkd or 4.27 pct at 2.8, Brilliance China down 0.125 hkd or 5.68 pct at 2.075 and Angang Newsteel down 0.1 hkd or 3.48 pct at 2.775. Sanmenxia Tianyuan Aluminum (8253.HK), a state-controlled aluminum producer based in China's Henan province, was at 0.275, after opening at 0.28 and against its offer price of 0.3, on its debut on the Growth Enterprise Market (GEM). Dealers said trading overall is cautious ahead of key data releases in the US this week. The US is scheduled to release the retail sales, PPI and CPI data for June later this week. Overnight, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) finished up 25 points, or 0.2 pct at 10,238.22, while the Nasdaq composite closed down 9.41 points or 0.5 pct at 1,936.92 after bouncing back from a session low of 1,921. (1 usd = 7.8 hkd) susanna.tai@afxasia.com st/rc

	Originally posted by 昊然 at 2004-7-13 10:35 AM: 7月13日昊然汇评：关注今天数据，继续逢低买入 各位投资者大家好！周一外汇市场各币种继续出现高位震荡，在目前这个位置上，多空处在平衡的状态，各币种上方的短线压力十分明显，经过连续3天的高位震荡之后， ... 谢谢,我已经逢低买入了

	Originally posted by 解伯进 at 2004-7-13 11:43: 谢谢,我已经逢低买入了 多少买进的？

	请问斑竹根据数据炒外汇行的通吗？上一周美国有些数据还不错。美圆也不见动静，我觉得今晚数据就算好。美圆也许还是会跌。数据差。美圆还是跌

	Originally posted by 弟弟 at 2004-7-13 12:03 PM: 请问斑竹根据数据炒外汇行的通吗？上一周美国有些数据还不错。美圆也不见动静，我觉得今晚数据就算好。美圆也许还是会跌。数据差。美圆还是跌 老弟高见........

	Originally posted by wjj_bjxu at 2004-7-13 11:53 AM: 多少买进的？ 1.2357