5月14日 尽管数据差强人意, 美元依然保持强劲

	外汇市场评论 尽管数据差强人意, 美元依然保持强劲   隔夜主要经济数据: 1. 澳大利亚4月份新添就业人数为43,400人. 4月份失业率为5.6%, 预计5.7%; 2. 美国本周初次申请救济金人数为331K;预期为325K; 3. 美国4月份零售销售指数(CPI)为-0.5%;预期为-0.2%; 4. 美国4月份生产者核心价格指数(PPI)为0.7%;预期为0.2%;   隔夜市场分析: 昨天早盘的获利会吐, 使得美元出现全线走强的态势. 而后期美国公布的数据却差强人意, 市场感觉失去了明确的方向, 后市保持区间波动.   今日操作建议: 警惕非美货币将有小范围回调的风险,中期美元依然看强, 建议寻高出货.   欧元:昨天欧元区并没有主要数据出台, 早盘的获利回吐, 和美国数据公布后的欧员卖盘曾经一度使欧元兑美元跌至1.1780左右, 跌幅近1%. 后市的回调又将欧元带回1.18上方. 总体来看, 美国经济仍继续好转, 欧元兑美元仍然存在卖盘压力. 技术方面: 阻力为1.1870,然后是1.1940; 支持位为1.1760, 然后是1.1730. 预期波动区间: 1.1940-1.1730   日元: 美元兑日元昨日上扬约1日元. 其主要原因是日本股市下跌约3%. 尽管在美国公布数据后有所回落, ,预计中期美元兑日元仍然具备上升潜力. 技术分析:美元日元在有效突破114.00阻力后, 美元兑日元支持位在114.00,然后是113.40而上方阻力在114.50,然后是115.50.( 自2001年11月的高点到今年3月的38.2%的回调) 预期波动区间: 115.50-114.00   英镑: 昨天, 由于前一日英国央行公布倾向于升息的报告后,英镑大涨. 而在昨日的交易中, 英镑对美元走出获利回吐的走势.虽然在美国公布数据后, 有小幅度的波动, 近期英镑仍然维持在下降通道内. 技术分析:预计短期上升阻力为1.7680,然后是1.7780; 而主力支持位是1.7530, 然后是1.7490. 预期波动区间: 1.7680-1.7530   澳元和纽币: 市场的获利回吐, 带领澳,纽币在昨天继续走出回调行情. 尽管澳洲的就业率仍然强于预期, 但是苦于市场没有有效支撑, 全日下跌近2%. 纽币方面, 没有主要数据支持,纽币在昨天开盘走软, 后市虽然在美国数据出台后, 有小幅度回升, 后市继续下跌. 技术分析: 澳币支持位在0.6820然后是0.6730, 阻力则为0.6980;纽元: 支持位位于0.5980, 然后是0.5920.阻力则在0.6050,然后是0.6150. 预期波动区间: 澳元0.6980-0.6800;纽元 0.6050-0.5920   以上评论完成于AKL6:30AM (GMT+12); Beijing 2:30AM

	With early market profit taken, dollar getting back the strength ageist all other majors. Latterly, With US data were not given clear signal on how currencies go. After major currencies were given back some early profits, they were trade in the range.   EURO/USD: Yesterday, as no major data out in market from Europe, dollar was continually gained against euro. After US data out, euro was down to 1.1780, as nearly 1%. Market retracement was pulled the euro back to 1.18 levels. Euro was still under the sell-off pressure in short term. Technical views:  Euro resistance level is 1.1870, and then 1.1940; Support level is 1.1760, and then 1.1730. Trading range: 1.1940-1.1730         USD/JPY: Yen slips as Nikkei drops nearly 3%. Dollar was staying above 114.00 and stands steady against Yen. Although, as US data out, dollar was given back some early profits, but in the middle term, dollar yen would up to a new high. Technical view: As dollar yen efficiently up break 114 as perverse high, major support is above 114.00, and then 113.40. Resistance is about 114.50, and then 115.50.       Trading range: 115.50-114.00 GBP/USD: Sterling was given out some early profits as BOE’s good inflation report boost sterling up over 2 present against dollar. Although as US data out, it was some range trading in the market, sterling was still in the down side trend.  Technical view:  The resistance level is near about 1.7680 and then 1.7780. The next support level is 1.7530, and then 1.7490. Trading range: 1.7680-1.7530 AUD/USD; NZD/USD: Market retracement was lead Aussie and Kiwi under the pressure. Although Australia’s job data batter than expectation, but there was no market support at that level. Aussie was down by nearly 2%. There was not data out in NZ market. Kiwi was followed the lead of Aussie had a retracement after US data out, and then, still under the sell-off pressure. Technical view:  Aussie: The resistance level would be 0.6980 and the support level would be 0.6820, and then 0.6730; Kiwi dollar: the next support of Kiwi is 0.5980, and then 0.5920, Resistance level would be 0.6050, and then 0.6150. Trading range: AUD/USD: 0.6980-0.6800; NZD/USD: 0.6050-0.5920