5月11日 市场罕有数据出台, 美元继续全线走强

	隔夜市场分析: 昨天,全球外汇市场并没有主要数据出台,市场继续沉浸在上周五美国方面强劲的就业数据中, 市场继续对美国的加息前景充满强烈的信心. 非美货币继续全面走软.   今日操作建议: 预计：非美货币将有小范围回调, 中期美元依然看强, 建议寻高出货.   欧元: 美元周一兑欧元升至五个月来高点, 延续上周五,美国公布以外强劲就业报告后的涨势.技术方面: 阻力为1.1980,然后是1.2020; 支持位为1.1870, 然后是1.1780. 预期波动区间: 1.1930-1.1800   日元:日元是昨天外汇市场的明星. 日前, 日本股票市场继续下挫, 受中国经济成长可能放缓的影响, 和美国的加息前景,引发美元兑日元周一超过1%的升势.技术分析:在修补好去年9月份的下跳缺口后, 美元日元的止损盘瞬间推高到114.20的近8个月的新高. 其支持位在112.10,然后是110.90而上方阻力在115.50. 预期波动区间: 115.50-112.10   英镑:因美元继续在上周五美国公布的强劲就业报告的提振下走高, 兑英镑有超过0.5%的升幅. 而其抗跌性,也应其本身的出口行的石油工业, 表现优于其他高息货币. 技术分析:预计短期上升阻力为1.7820然后是1.7950; 而主力支持位1.7680, 然后是1.7620. 预期波动区间: 1.7880-1.7620   澳元和纽币: 美元在4月份非农业就业数据的影响下,继续扩大涨幅. 澳,纽币并没有获得有效的市场支撑.大幅度下跌. 由于担心美国潜在的加息潜力, 澳币,纽币倍受压力. 下跌幅度近2%.技术分析: 在跌破0.7后, 澳元的市场止损继续打压澳币的信心. 支持在0.6820, 阻力则为0.7040. 纽元: 支持位位于0.6000, 远期看0.5910.阻力则在0.6130 预期波动区间: 澳元0.7040_0.6820;纽元 0.6130_0.6000   隔夜市场分析: 昨天,全球外汇市场并没有主要数据出台,市场继续沉浸在上周五美国方面强劲的就业数据中, 市场继续对美国的加息前景充满强烈的信心. 非美货币继续全面走软.   今日操作建议: 预计：非美货币将有小范围回调, 中期美元依然看强, 建议寻高出货.   欧元: 美元周一兑欧元升至五个月来高点, 延续上周五,美国公布以外强劲就业报告后的涨势.技术方面: 阻力为1.1980,然后是1.2020; 支持位为1.1870, 然后是1.1780. 预期波动区间: 1.1930-1.1800   日元:日元是昨天外汇市场的明星. 日前, 日本股票市场继续下挫, 受中国经济成长可能放缓的影响, 和美国的加息前景,引发美元兑日元周一超过1%的升势.技术分析:在修补好去年9月份的下跳缺口后, 美元日元的止损盘瞬间推高到114.20的近8个月的新高. 其支持位在112.10,然后是110.90而上方阻力在115.50. 预期波动区间: 115.50-112.10   英镑:因美元继续在上周五美国公布的强劲就业报告的提振下走高, 兑英镑有超过0.5%的升幅. 而其抗跌性,也应其本身的出口行的石油工业, 表现优于其他高息货币. 技术分析:预计短期上升阻力为1.7820然后是1.7950; 而主力支持位1.7680, 然后是1.7620. 预期波动区间: 1.7880-1.7620   澳元和纽币: 美元在4月份非农业就业数据的影响下,继续扩大涨幅. 澳,纽币并没有获得有效的市场支撑.大幅度下跌. 由于担心美国潜在的加息潜力, 澳币,纽币倍受压力. 下跌幅度近2%.技术分析: 在跌破0.7后, 澳元的市场止损继续打压澳币的信心. 支持在0.6820, 阻力则为0.7040. 纽元: 支持位位于0.6000, 远期看0.5910.阻力则在0.6130 预期波动区间: 澳元0.7040_0.6820;纽元 0.6130_0.6000   以上评论完成于AKL6:30AM (GMT+12); Beijing 2:30AM

	There was no major news in the market yesterday. Dollar was keep extending gains against all major currencies on the back of last Friday’s surprisingly strong US job report. EURO/USD: Dollar raised to 5 months highs, against the euro on Monday, extending gains on back of last Friday’s US job data. Technical views:  Euro resistance level is 1.1980, and then 1.2020; Support level is 1.1870, and then 1.1780 Trading range: 1.1930-1.1800 USD/JPY: Yen was star in the market, yesterday. As weak Japanese stock market, and potential economic slowdown in China have fuelled a dollar rally of more than 1% against the yen on Monday. Technical view: As close the gap in September 2003, the market stop loss order push up dollar yen up to 114.20 very quickly. Major support is above 112.10, and then 110.90. Resistance is about 115.50.       Trading range: 115.50-112.10 GBP/USD: Sterling fell more than 0.5 percent against dollar on Monday, as US currency continued to forge higher in the wake of Friday’s surprisingly strong US job report. Oil prices and interest rate expectations are supporting the pound, which is holding up against most high yield currency. Technical view:  The resistance level is near about 1.7880 and then 1. 7950. The next support level is 1.7680; and then 1.7620. Trading range: 1.7880-1.7620 AUD/USD; NZD/USD: With Friday’s US strong April non-farm payroll data, dollar was keep strength against all major currencies on Monday. Both Aussie and Kiwi were under sell-off pressure, and they both drop down over 2%.  Technical view:  As major support of Aussie 0.7000 break out, Aussie was under sell-off pressure. The resistance level would be 0.7040 and the support level would be 0.6820; Kiwi dollar: the next support of Kiwi is 0.6000, and far to see 0.5910, Resistance level would be 0.6130. Trading range: AUD/USD: 0.7040-0.6820; NZD/USD: 0.6130-0.6000

	高见啊.

	[ Last edited by 昆仑派 on 2004-5-11 at 03:00 AM ]

	刺头兄，欢迎你经常到我的贴里提意见。

	谢谢