5月6日 市场期待美国就业率数据, 非美继续走强.

	隔夜主要经济数据: 1. 美国4月份非制造业指数(ISM)为68.4;预期为65   隔夜市场分析:美国昨天虽然宣布维持利息不变, 符合市场预期, 但是FED提出 ‘循序渐进’的方法调整货币政策, 仍然比预期的说法 ‘温和’.虽然昨晚美国方面,基本面消息依然强劲, 但市场方面并不愿意在今天英国利息公布;以及美国周五4月份非农业就业数据公布前建立新仓位, 从而继续引发美元今天的跌势. 倘若美国4月份就业人数大幅度增长, 将会强化FED提早紧缩银根的市场预期, 美元价位将被拉高.   今日操作建议:今天随后的英国的利息公布是市场关注的焦点. 本周美国的就业率方面的数据将格外重要, 将直接指明外汇市场近期的操作方向.   欧元: 美国FOMC公布维持利率不变, 符合市场预期, 但是FED的 ‘温和’ 说法, 依然对美元不利.导致欧元一度上探, 虽然在美国4月份非制造业ISM指数公布后, 有所回落, 但是投资者并不愿意急于建立仓位. 从而继续引发美元今天的跌势. 技术方面:欧元在上破1.2120的阻力位后, 市场止损, 继续推高欧元. 中期阻力为1.2200(2月高点到4月低位的38.2%回调) 则仍有上升潜力. 阻力位位于1.2200; 支持位为1.2120, 然后是1.2090. 预期波动区间: 1.2200-1.2090   日元:美元的跌势, 也使美元日元, 继续承受抛压. 由于日本市场继续休市, 日本方面并没有主力入场. 技术分析: 支持位在108.30, 然后是107.90而上方阻力在109.75. 预期波动区间: 109.75-108.30   英镑:英国的房屋市场数据继续表现强劲, 使得市场仍然看好英镑的加息前景. 引发市场一度的提前买盘. 但是在上破1.8000后期没有站稳, 回吐了部分先前的利润.也有消息指出, 苏格兰皇家银行以105亿美元收购美国Charter One, 打压了部分英镑的买盘. 技术分析:预计 短期上升阻力为1.8020; 而主力支持位1.7850, 然后是1.7770. 预期波动区间: 1.8020-1.7850   澳元和纽币: 由于美元继续走软, 澳,纽币在昨天跟随欧元英镑继续上行. 澳币昨天并未加息,符合市场预期. 澳币并没有大幅度波动. 技术分析: 澳元主力支持在0.7170附近,然后是0.7080.阻力则为0.7320,然后是0.7370. 纽元: 支持位位于0.6240.阻力则在0.6370,然后是0.6430. 预期波动区间: 澳元0.7320_0.7170;纽元 0.6430_0.6230   以上评论完成于AKL6:30AM (GMT+12); Beijing 2:30AM

	Dollar weak, after US FED left rate unchanged, as expected. The ‘measured’ approach the FED announced towards removing accommodative monetary policy sounded more gradual then some of expectations. Although last night’s US fundamental data still strength, but investors do not want to open new position right before tomorrow’s BOE’s interest rate announcement and US non-farm payroll on Friday. So dollar was still keep weak against all major currencies.  If a very good number release on US job market would encourage the market expectation on FED’s rate hike, so dollar would also go strength. EURO/USD: After FOMC announced to keep rate unchanged as expectation, but the ‘measured’ approach made Euro strength. Although good ISM data made Euro given out some early profits, but market investors would not open a new position. Those made dollar under pressure. Technical views: Euro was up break 1.2120 as major resistance, market stop loss order was triggered. In the middle term euro resistance level is 1.2200, as 38.2% FIBO retracement form the low at April to the high at Feb. this year.  Support level is 1.2120, and then 1.2090 Trading range: 1.2200-1.2090 USD/JPY: Followed by weak dollar, Dollar-Yen was also under the pressure. As Japan market still in holiday, there was no serious trading against market. Technical view: Major support is above 108.30, and then 107.90. Resistance is about 109.75   Trading range: 109.75-108.30 GBP/USD: Yesterday, the UK house data was still hot, made investors hoping BOE will increase the interest rate late today, and even had some pre-purchase. But Cable was not stay steady above 1.8000. Some of profit taken pulls the sterling down. Technical view: The resistance level is near about 1.8020. The next support level is 1.7850; and then 1.7770. Trading range: 1.7980-1.7770 AUD/USD; NZD/USD: After FOMC announced to keep rate unchanged, by flowed the lead of Euro and Sterling, both Aussie and Kiwi was keep strength. After RBA announced to keep meeting the interest rate unchanged, which is as expected Aussie was quite stable. Technical view:  Major support of Aussie would be 0.7170 and then 0.7080; the resistance level would be 0.7320, and then 0.7370; Kiwi dollar: the next support of Kiwi is 0.6240, Resistance level would be 0.6370, and then 0.6430. Trading range: AUD/USD: 0.7320-0.7170; NZD/USD: 0.6430-0.6230