Trading is Believing

	oo很顽强啊

	原帖由 花木兰1 于 2007-7-6 07:53 发表 有升就有跌!改不了的自然定律! 167.70. E/J涨势良好，且未超买，前期下跌已经修正涨幅和指标，若高位收盘，近期还会上涨。。。 可能还得等1-2周，才会下跌（或回调）。。。

	果然不出所料，欧元的双头不是那么容易形成的。。。应该还有一次冲高，下周继续震荡。。。区间还是1.3565 -- 1.3665. 其实我最希望的就是冲到1.3715之上，然后掉头向下。。。两头杀！ 今天的走势，还是蓄谋谋杀（1.3575之下的止损已经打掉，加上美国好数据，应该向下，但是打掉止损后，扭扭捏捏，力度不足，就要向上喽，至少要诱多一次）。。。为以后做铺垫。。。 [ 本帖最后由 ForexGG 于 2007-7-6 08:14 编辑 ]

	美加的空头，摆好止损，有冲1.0400的希望。。。

	EUR/USD: Official Support For Euro Forces Rally London, July 6. The support for the Euro from official sources has continued in the wake of the US data. With the downside looking fortified EUR/USD has been forced to make a run on the topside. Spot has broken back into the 1.36"s but the offers into 1.3615/20 are now looking to put a lid on the topside. Topside stops are said to be being sniffed out and a break above 1.3620 is now said to be an attractive prospect for those in the leveraged community. 看收盘喽。。。只要收阴线，或者十字附近，下周下跌的可能性大。。。反之，继续冲前高！

	原帖由 ForexGG 于 2007-6-30 09:02 发表 短线出击不可恋战，有机会我肯定还会回来。。。 Ganvle八大法则中： 第4条买入信号： 股价线与移动平均线都在下降，问题在于股价线狠狠下挫，远离了移动平均线，表明反弹指日可待，这第4个买进讯号甚为许多短线客喜爱（所谓抢谷底），但切忌不可恋战，因为大势依然不妙，久战势必套牢。   看来，还是作了个好的决定。。。

	目前，欧日，镑日，x日，。。。都创了前高，等到这些个x日，大幅回调的的时候，这波套息就快结束了，最后的100-200点的一冲。美日还早，年内要到127。那是美元反弹的时候。但是不排除回一次120附近。 目前，没有任何套息大军撤军的迹象，也没有政府组织，喊实在受不了了。。。那就还得继续。。。 只要记住一条，任何时候，套系交易始终是市场的主力军，任何时候都有市场。。。 欧元下周若冲破1.3660 - 1.3685，甚至1.3715之上。那可真的要小心了，高点目标在1.3810，甚至1.3990。 反之，仍看区间下限。。。 [ 本帖最后由 ForexGG 于 2007-7-6 10:07 编辑 ]

	Oil prices weaken in Asian morning trade on profit taking 2007年7月8日 23:11:00   SINGAPORE (* Financial) - Oil prices were lower in Singapore trade Monday on profit-taking, but US gasoline (petrol) supply concerns were expected to limit the downside, dealers said. Worries over heightened civil unrest in Nigeria, Africa's largest producer, should also lend support to prices, they said. At 10:57 am (0257 GMT), New York's main contract, light sweet crude for August delivery, was down 25 cents at 72.56 US dollars a barrel from 72.81 dollars in late US trade Friday after reaching their highest levels since late August last year. Brent North Sea crude for August delivery fell two cents to 75.60 dollars. 'Prices should be going down because the market is completely overheated and overbought,' said Tetsu Emori, chief commodities strategist with Mitsui Bussan Futures in Tokyo. The decline is expected to be brief because of existing concerns over low US gasoline stocks and the unrest in Nigeria, he said, adding: 'Those are still major issues in the market.' US gasoline reserves were about 4.2 percent below their level at the same time last year, according to figures released last week. In Nigeria, daily exports of 2.6 million barrels have been reduced by a quarter because of unrest -- including abductions of foreign oil workers -- in the oil-producing south.

	EUR/USD: SENTIX Drop Overlooked, EUR/JPY Bounces London, July 9.     The fall in the Euro Zone SENTIX data has been overlooked by EUR/USD as the pair remains upbeat. Spot continues to make stabs into the 1.3630"s but still the supply from 1.3640, that is tipped to trail to the 50 mark, is in place to rebuff the advance.     The indicator of investor morale deteriorated in July to 30.1 from the 42.0 in June. Economists see this as a worsening in the assessment of both current conditions and economic expectations.     The EUR/USD move higher has also coincided with a slight EUR/JPY bounce near 168.00. Yet Japanese traders see the cross as heavy so further runs at the downside cannot be ruled out and any clear break into the 167"s (below 167.90 support) could weigh on the short-term outlook in EUR/USD. 如果E/J上升无力（已基本靠近了169），则对E/U空方有力。。。 谁知道SENTIX是什么意思？或者全称是什么？ 谢谢！

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