5月8日 美国就业数据十分亮丽, 市场重燃FED加息预期

	隔夜主要经济数据: 1. 美国4月份非农业就业人数为288K;预期为170K; 2. 美国平均薪金(每小时)为0.3%;预期为0.2%;   隔夜市场分析: 昨天, 美国4月份非农业就业数据,远好于预期. 令市场重燃美国将在六月份加息的希望之火. 从而引发美元今天走出的大举反攻的升势；并对非美货币有大幅度的升幅. 预计美元中期将继续走强.   今日操作建议: 由于周五, 美国的非农业就业人数的数据远好于预期. 美元将大幅度走强. 预计周一非美货币将有小范围回调, 中期美元依然看强.   欧元: 昨日,随着亮丽的周五4月份非农业就业数据大幅度超过预期, 美元对主要货币大举反攻,导致当日欧元兑美元下跌近1.5%.技术方面: 阻力为1.1980,然后是1.2020; 支持位为1.1870, 然后是1.1780. 预期波动区间: 1.1930-1.1800   日元:昨日美元兑日元在日本内阁官房长管福田康夫传出辞职消息后, 微幅上升. 而后又受美国方面强劲的就业数据提振, 美元兑日元涨幅超过近2%. 并曾尝试112.50的近来高位. 技术分析:其支持位在111.50,然后是110.90而上方阻力在112.70, 然后是113.50. 预期波动区间: 112.70-111.50   英镑:由于受到英国央行昨天暗示的加息可能, 今天英镑开盘走高.而在美国出乎意料的亮丽的4月份非农业就业数据的影响下, 美元全面跳涨. 英镑也随之大幅度下跌.预计周一英镑将带领非美走出一轮小范围回调.中期,美元依然看强. 技术分析: 英镑继续在维持在原来的大区间波动. 预计单边突破1.8020或1.7770后市场才有明显方向. 预计短期上升阻力为1.7950然后是1.8020; 而主力支持位1.7800, 然后是1.7770. 预期波动区间: 1.7950-1.7770   澳元和纽币: 昨晚, 美元在强劲的4月份非农业就业数据的影响下,全面上扬. 澳,纽币并没有获得有效的市场支撑. 跟随欧元英镑; 澳,纽币兑美元均有超过2%的跌幅. 澳币的下跌,始于昨日澳洲央行曾经暗示不急于调升利息. 而纽币则是在美国公布数据后, 开始大幅度的下跌. 技术分析: 澳元主力支持在0.7000,然后是0.6950.阻力则为0.7150. 纽元: 支持位位于0.6150, 远期看0.6050.阻力则在0.6240 预期波动区间: 澳元0.7150_0.7000;纽元 0.6240_0.0.6130   以上评论完成于AKL6:30AM (GMT+12); Beijing 2:30AM

	The US April non farm payroll data was far better than expected. As result, would heat up the expectation on Fed’s rate hike in early June. Dollar was jump out rapidly against all major currencies. In middle term, dollar would still keep strength. EURO/USD: Yesterday, with the unexpected strong Friday’s non farm payroll data, Euro was loosing ground against dollar, Euro was down nearly 1.5% v.s. dollar. Technical views:  Euro resistance level is 1.1980, and then 1.2020; Support level is 1.1870, and then 1.1780 Trading range: 1.1930-1.1800 USD/JPY: Yen was fell slightly on Friday, after Yasuo Fukuda was resigning as chief cabinet secretary over missed payments to the state pension plan. Later, after US unexpected strong non-farm payroll data, dollar was strength cross aboard. Dollar rallies 2% against yen, and even up try 112.50, as this year high. Technical view: Major support is above 111.50, and then 110.90. Resistance is about 112.70 and then 113.50. Trading range: 112.70-111.50 GBP/USD: sterling was pushed up in early trades, by potential rate hike in BOE yesterday’s report. With the unexpected strong US non-farm payroll data, sterling loses ground. We think,    sterling would lead the retracement on Monday. But in middle term, dollar would be keep strength. Technical view: Once sterling would break though whether 1.8020 or 1.7770 can give marker clear signal to trade pound. The resistance level is near about 1.7950 and then 1. 8020. The next support level is 1.7800; and then 1.7770. Trading range: 1.7950-1.7770 AUD/USD; NZD/USD:  yesterday, with US strong April non-farm payroll data, dollar was strength against all major currencies. By followed the lead of Euro and sterling, both Aussie and Kiwi were under sell-off pressure, and they both drop down over 2%. After RBA announced that, they are no hurry to increase rate in short term, Aussie was under starting under pressure. Kiwi was down right after US job data released. Technical view:  Major support of Aussie would be 0.7000 and then 0.6850; the resistance level would be 0.7150; Kiwi dollar: the next support of Kiwi is 0.6150, and far to see 0.6050, Resistance level would be 0.6240. Trading range: AUD/USD: 0.7150-0.7000; NZD/USD: 0.6240-0.6130