4月28日 市场基本平静, 大盘横盘振荡整理

	隔夜市场分析: 昨日外汇市场的并没有具体方向, 属于大盘横盘振荡整理.交易量不大. 美国基本层面继续保持向好.其他各主要货币方面: 欧洲央行总裁的年度报告, 使得市场对欧洲经济略微恢复了信心.而英国下周的升息潜力, 提振英镑. 日元步入黄金周的假期操作, 扭澳币也保持区间交易.   今日操作建议: 区间交易, 建议短线操作.   欧元: 昨日欧洲央行(ECB)总裁特里谢向欧洲货币事物委员会提交ECB的年度报告. 报告称, 在未来数月, 通货膨胀将有所上升, 物价稳定前景看好. 经济持续温和复苏.受其报告影响, 欧元昨日兑美元继续回调. 技术方面分看, 由于欧元仍处在下跌通到中, 中期仍有下跌风险. 阻力位位于1.1980然后是1.2000, 欧元支持位为1.1760. 预期波动区间: 1.980-1.1760   日元:由于投资者在日本周黄金周假期前并不打算继续跟进日元.昨日市场出现相当数量的欧元日元的卖单. 导致美元兑日元也有大幅度升高.技术分析: 日元基本应维持在区间波动.支持位在108.30.然后是107.90.而上方阻力在109.40附近,然后是110.00. 预期波动区间: 110.00-108.30   英镑: 今日英镑兑美元继续走出一轮上升行情,是由于市场普遍预期英国将在下周调升25个基点. 今天英镑的升幅是对英国央行货币政策委员会官员塔克讲话的积极反应.英镑兑美元创本周新高;兑欧元创2周高点. 技术分析:市场基本面的数据对英镑有利, 英镑可能进一步走出上扬走势, 预计将在1.8150-1.7620的大区间内波动.短期上升阻力为1.800, 然后1.8150.而支持位位于1.7760然后是主力支持位1.7620. 预期交易区间: 1.8000-1.7760   澳元和纽币: 在昨天,纽西兰公布4月份消费信心指数为-37.5%,.澳洲方面也静等明早的第一季度通货膨胀报告, 预计消费者物价指数(CPI)为.07%.纽币澳币中期仍有卖盘危险.尽管走势和欧元类似, 但总的来说澳元和纽币仍属于区间交易. 技术分析: 澳元主力支持在0.7170附近.阻力则为0.7370.纽元,支持位位于0.6235,然后是0.62附近.阻力则在0.6370. 预期交易区间: 澳元0.7370_0.7170;纽元 0.6330_0.6250   4月28日 早6：00AM

	Yesterday, it was like market consolidation. US fundamental data was still better than expected. As euro zone, with Trichet’s report, market was pick up a little bit confinement on euro-economy recovery; the expected rate hike in UK, continually  support sterling, and Japan are getting ready for the Golden week holiday. EURO/USD: Yesterday, ECB president Trichet given out expressed confidence on euro zone’s recovery with inflation, GDP growth, and gradual recover on economic next year.  As react in market, Euro was continually up against dollar. Technical view: euro still trade in downside trend, and also has sell-off risk.  Resistance level is 1.1980 then 1.2; support level is 1.1760. Trading range: 1.1980-1.1760 USD/JPY: Because investors would like square their position right before Japan’s Golden Week holiday. There has been some Euro/Yen sell-off in market, and Dollar/Yen has been trade high in yesterday. Technical view: Dollar Yen should still keep the range trading. Major support is above 108.30.then 107.90. Resistance is about 109.40 and then 110.00   Trading range: 110.00-108.30 GBP/USD: Today, sterling steadied strength against dollar, because of investors positioned for an interest rate rise by BOE nest week. As react of BOE’s policymaker Tucher’s speech, sterling got support from market, not only against dollar but also Euro as well. Technical view: Fundamental data was good to boost up sterling. Cable would keep strength in the wild trading range 1.8150-1.7620. The next support level is 1.7760 and 1.7680, and the resistance level is near about 1.8000 and 1.8150. Trading range: 1.800-1.7760 AUD/USD; NZD/USD: last night, NZ, the consumer confident was out -37.5%, which is better than March. In Aussie, market was waiting for 1st quarter inflation report as released on today.  As high yield, both Aussie and Kiwi was under the sell-off pressure although by followed the lead of Euro. Both of Aussie and Kiwi made a range trading, yesterday. Technical view:  Major support of Aussie would be 0.7170; as 0.7280, the resistance level would be 0.7370; Kiwi dollar: the next support of Kiwi is 0.6235,and then is 0.62. Resistance level would be 0.6370. Trading range: AUD/USD: 0.7370-0.7170; NZD/USD: 0.6330-0.6250