G4月27日 7并没有新亮点, 利息差距成为主导交易

	隔夜市场分析: 由于七大工业国Ｇ７会议并没有过多的提及汇率问题, 使得市场目光重新回到美国近期升息的问题上. 今天早盘, 非美继续下跌. 而英国的CBI出台后和德国好于预期的IFO景气指数, 使欧元英镑纷纷上扬. 走出一轮典型的回吐行情.今天看来并非美元走弱而是非美受消息提振纷纷走强. 今日操作建议: 警惕高息货币回调风险, 建议寻高卖出.   欧元: 由于G7会议结束后, 欧元区的降息趋势, 和美国的加息潜力, 使欧元在昨早开盘后一度下跌到进5个月的最低水平. 而随后受强劲的德国IFO指数的影响, 又带动欧元后市收复了昨天先前的失地. 技术方面分看, 欧元仍处在下跌通到中, 中期仍有下跌风险. 阻力位位于1.1920然后是1.1980, 欧元支持位为1.1760. 预期波动区间: 1.920-1.1760   日元:昨天美元兑日元的交易, 由于受欧元,英镑等欧洲货币的反攻, 日元美元虽有振荡, 日元全天表现比较稳定.在技术分析上看;日元基本应维持在区间波动.支持位在108.30.然后是107.90.而上方阻力在109.40附近,然后是110.00. 预期波动区间: 109.60-108.30   英镑: 此前, 英国央行货币政策委员会官员塔克曾表示,利率有提高的必要,通货膨胀也不能阻止升息. 英镑得到提振.而昨天公布的强劲的英国CBI数据,增强了市场对其央行5月份加息的普遍预期.英镑兑美元完成近1%的反攻. 技术分析:虽然基本面的数据对英镑有利, 英镑可能进一步走出上扬走势, 但目前仍有卖盘风险.上升阻力为1.7930而主力支持位位于1.7620. 预期交易区间: 1.7930-1.7620   澳元和纽币: 在昨天, 由于澳,纽没有新的经济数据. Anzac假期过后市场明显清淡. 作为高利息货币澳元和纽币,中期仍有卖盘危险.尽管走势和英镑,欧元类似, 但总的来说澳元和纽币属于区间交易. 技术分析: 澳元主力支持在0.7170附近.阻力则为0.7370.纽元也位于下降通道中, 若有效跌破0.6180; 后则会继续下跌, 支持位位于0.6050附近.阻力则在0.6370. 预期交易区间: 澳元0.7370_0.7170;纽元 0.6330_0.6150

	As there was no more commitment about rate on G7 meeting. Market eyed chances for US interest rate rises. In early morning, all major currencies were under-pressure. And then, after German’s good IFO, hand good US’s CBI. All major currencies were fighting back of the loose against dollar. Overview of today, not tToday’s Suggestion: Be aware of high yield retracement, and the suggestion is still sell-high.he dollar weaker, but major currencies are stronger. EURO/USD:  because of the potential interest rate differential, Dollar hit a five-month high against euro in the early trade. When the good German IFO out in market, Euro was picking back strength fighting back the early loss against dollar. Technical view: euro still trade in downside trend, and also has sell-off risk.  Resistance level is 1.1920 then 1.1980; support level is 1.1760. Trading range: 1.1920-1.1760 USD/JPY: Yesterday followed the lead of Euro and sterling dollar yen was under sell off pressure. Technical view: Dollar Yen should still keep the range trading. Major support is above 108.30.then 107.90. Resistance is about 109.40 and then 110.00   Trading range: 109.80-108.30 GBP/USD: BOE’s committee member Tucker said that British interest rates may need to raise no mater the low inflation. Sterling picks up momentum. Especially the strong CBI data out, increased the expectation of rate hike in early May. Pound fought back nearly 1% against dollar, yesterday. Technical view: Although, fundamental data was good to boost up sterling. But Cable was still in downside trend, has sell-off risk. The next support level is 1.7620, and the resistance level is above 1.7620 Trading range: 1.7930-1.7620 AUD/USD; NZD/USD: There was no major data from Australia and NZ yesterday.  Market was quite quiet after Anzac holiday. As high yield, both Aussie and Kiwi was under the sell-off pressure although by followed the lead of Euro and sterling, both of Aussie and Kiwi made a range trading. Technical view:  Major support of Aussie would be 0.7170; as 0.7280, the resistance level would be 0.7370; Kiwi dollar was still in the downside trend. If Kiwi would efficiently break though 0.6180, the next support of Kiwi is 0.6050. Resistance level would be 0.6370. Trading range: AUD/USD: 0.7370-0.7170; NZD/USD: 0.6330-0.6150